| Week | Date | Result | Opponent | Score | ELO Before | ELO Change | ELO After | Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 2026 | W | Liberty | 20-13 | 1699.3 | -163.8 | 1535.5 | 77.4% |
| 2 | Sep 12 2026 | W | Wagner | 87-3 | 1535.5 | +68.7 | 1604.2 | 98.9% |
| 3 | Sep 20 2026 | W | San Diego State | 26-13 | 1604.2 | +40.9 | 1645.1 | 69.3% |
| 4 | Sep 26 2026 | W | Old Dominion | 46-20 | 1645.1 | +28.7 | 1673.8 | 85.7% |
| 5 | Oct 3 2026 | W | Marshall | 45-17 | 1673.8 | +4.3 | 1678.1 | 91.8% |
| 6 | Oct 10 2026 | W | Georgia Southern | 27-24 | 1678.1 | -26.3 | 1651.8 | 89.4% |